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so I want to stir up trouble by talking SOS and W/L records.
We have seen how the regular season SOS can affect a team’s post-season prospects (see Baylor). Obviously, teams play different opponents both IN and OUT of conference. Some people complain about the use of SOS because a team’s IN conference schedule is “not negotiable”. This is not entirely true; UF chose to play LSU and Auburn every year from the west division and now chooses to play LSU every year from the west; Michigan chooses to play OSU every year; and FSU chooses to play Miami every year. A second complaint is “Well, they were good when we scheduled them.” Too bad. Because schedules are often made up to 10 years out, teams need to look at what a potential opponents is like over a span of years and not “hot now”. It’s the same reason brokers look at 30 or 65 day moving averages in stocks. There are only 20 teams that have been ranked 50% or more of the time over the past 25 seasons. There are 108 teams ranked less than 50 % (on average FAR less than 50%). A final argument against SOS is that if team A is the best team in their conference then the other teams benefit from playing Team A, but team A then has a poorer SOS because they can’t play themselves in football. Wah, wah, wah.
With these points in mind let’s do a little SOS analysis over the past 25 seasons but looking at just the regular season (no Bowls or CCG’s). Here is a great link which lists teams Overall record, vs AP 1-5, vs AP 6-10, vs AP 11-15, vs AP 16-20, vs AP 21-25, and vs unranked opponents.
http://www.sportshoop.la/cfbt_recor...=on&nbowl=on&nccg=on&allop=1&cres=1&scrview=7
One can break down the unranked opponents into 3 groups, unranked majors, unranked non-majors, College Football Trivia
and FCS teams.College Football Trivia
Clicking on the links one can see a VAST difference in scheduling.
E.g., Florida has played 12 FCS foes, OSU has played 3, while ND, USC and UCLA have played NONE over the past 25 seasons.
Conversely, UF has played 32 AP Top 5 teams (final rankings), OSU has played 9, ND and UCLA have played 19 and USC has played 18.
What if it were possible for all teams to play the same schedule at least on paper? How much would the team W/L records change?
We have seen how the regular season SOS can affect a team’s post-season prospects (see Baylor). Obviously, teams play different opponents both IN and OUT of conference. Some people complain about the use of SOS because a team’s IN conference schedule is “not negotiable”. This is not entirely true; UF chose to play LSU and Auburn every year from the west division and now chooses to play LSU every year from the west; Michigan chooses to play OSU every year; and FSU chooses to play Miami every year. A second complaint is “Well, they were good when we scheduled them.” Too bad. Because schedules are often made up to 10 years out, teams need to look at what a potential opponents is like over a span of years and not “hot now”. It’s the same reason brokers look at 30 or 65 day moving averages in stocks. There are only 20 teams that have been ranked 50% or more of the time over the past 25 seasons. There are 108 teams ranked less than 50 % (on average FAR less than 50%). A final argument against SOS is that if team A is the best team in their conference then the other teams benefit from playing Team A, but team A then has a poorer SOS because they can’t play themselves in football. Wah, wah, wah.
With these points in mind let’s do a little SOS analysis over the past 25 seasons but looking at just the regular season (no Bowls or CCG’s). Here is a great link which lists teams Overall record, vs AP 1-5, vs AP 6-10, vs AP 11-15, vs AP 16-20, vs AP 21-25, and vs unranked opponents.
http://www.sportshoop.la/cfbt_recor...=on&nbowl=on&nccg=on&allop=1&cres=1&scrview=7
One can break down the unranked opponents into 3 groups, unranked majors, unranked non-majors, College Football Trivia
and FCS teams.College Football Trivia
Clicking on the links one can see a VAST difference in scheduling.
E.g., Florida has played 12 FCS foes, OSU has played 3, while ND, USC and UCLA have played NONE over the past 25 seasons.
Conversely, UF has played 32 AP Top 5 teams (final rankings), OSU has played 9, ND and UCLA have played 19 and USC has played 18.
What if it were possible for all teams to play the same schedule at least on paper? How much would the team W/L records change?
